(22 June 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(16 June 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(3 June 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(8 May 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(4 May 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(2 May 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(24 Apr 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
(21 Apr 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
- Dr. Swanson writes about the problems associated with modelling the COVID-19 pandemic when confronted with bad data. He does this by comparing Whatcom and Benton Counties in the State of Washington.
- To read more, click this link.
(20 Apr 2020)
Updated work from David A. Swanson, Ph.D:
- To follow up the suggestions in the first two pieces, I now have a series of seven articles in The Northwest Citizen, including one co-authored with Ron Cossman on "estimating unconfirmed cases."
- More are coming, including one on "data quality" on Monday, April 21st.
- All of these articles can be found at https://nwcitizen.com/.
- The seven published articles are below as PDF files. Also below as a PDF file is a "thought piece" on this type of work, "Modeling the COVID-19 Pandemic." Following the "barefoot Doctors" movement in China, one could call this "barefoot demography, using basic, simple methods to assist underserved non-urban areas.
30 MAR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - WHATCOM BASELINE
05 APR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - WHATCOM HOSPITALIZATIONS
07 APR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - BENTON COUNTY FORECASTS
10 APR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - 2ND UPDATE WHATCOM
14 APR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - UNCONFIRMED CASES
17 APR 2020 - NORTHWEST CITIZEN - 3RD UPDATE WHATCOM
THOUGHT PIECE - MODELING AND THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC SWANSON
THOUGHT PIECE - MODELING A 2X2 PERSPECTIVE SWANSON
(30 Mar 2020)
See the following link for a PDF document, which was prepared by David A. Swanson, Ph.D. Corresponding data is also attached in an Excel document.
- Suggestions on how demographers can contribute both to alleviating the pandemic and doing research on it.
COVID-19 FORECAST BASELINE & ALTERNATIVE SURGE PEAK (PDF)
COVID-19 CASES IN CLARK COUNTY BASELINE & SCENARIO 1 (Excel)